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joaquinmonfort - 09/08/2012 05:03 PM
#81
EUR/USD: technical analysis
Eurodollar is still stuck plum in the centre of a range. Currently it is falling and looks set to re-test yesterday's 1.2325 lows and probably even reach support at 1.2305. A bearish topping pattern has also formed. As stated before a break below 1.2300 would be a very bearish sign and open the way to 1.2210; whilst a breach above 1.2386 could see a short-covering recovery to the range highs at 1.2445.


Forex4you trading signals and analysis
joaquinmonfort - 09/08/2012 06:31 PM
#82
EUR/JPY: bearish H&S
A head and shoulders topping pattern has formed at the highs, and this combined with resistance from the major down-sloping trend-line, is a very bearish sign. My preference is for a downside break assuming the pair can breach the neckline at 96.57. The target would be at 95.35. A break above the 97.28 highs, on the other hand, as well as the trend-line at the same level, would see a probable rally up to the 50-day MA at 98.05.


Forex4you trading signals and analysis
joaquinmonfort - 10/08/2012 05:17 PM
#83
EUR/USD: technical analysis
Overall the outlook has turned bearish for eurodollar now that the pair has broken down below the 1.2300 level and back into its channel. My preference is for a continuation down to trend-line support at 1.2215 particularly if the 1.2360 lows are broken. Signs of short-term strength, however, could act as a spoiler, with a double-bottom on the hourly chart and a break above 1.2305 triggering a rally up to 1.2345 – possibly taking bears by surprise and leading to even further rises afterwards.


Forex4you trading signals and analysis
joaquinmonfort - 10/08/2012 07:48 PM
#84
EUR/GBP: breaking down
The EUR/GBP pair has broken down out of its rising channel. A move below 0.7856 would be confirmation of a resumption of the down-trend, targeting first the support level at 0.7825 and then the channel breakout target at 0.7785. A rally above the monthly pivot at 0.7895 would be required to revive the bullish cause.


Forex4you trading signals and analysis
joaquinmonfort - 20/08/2012 10:57 PM
#85
EUR/JPY: meeting resistance
El EUR/JPY ha logrado la línea superior de su canal donde podría invertir y comenzar una liquidación. Al mismo tiempo ha tocado el 50-día MM y un posible C&H esta formando en el grafico horal. Un brote debajo del escote en los 97.73 podría conducir a una liquidación hasta el pivote mensual en los 97.05. Sin embargo un brote encima de los 98.40 altos podría provocar un repunte 'cubre-cortos' hasta por lo menos los 99.00.

Forex4you trading signals and analysis
joaquinmonfort - 20/08/2012 11:05 PM
#86
EUR/USD: technical analysis
The counter-trend rally continues and there are no signs of exhaustion. If it goes above the 1.2385 highs it could signal a stronger bullish move to 1.2440, which is the neckline of an inverted H&S. A break above that could target 1.2505. A move below the trend-line at about 1.2290 would be a strong bearish signal and lead to a probable move down to 1.2210 where a major trend-line may kick in with support.

Forex4you trading signals and analysis
joaquinmonfort - 21/08/2012 05:14 PM
#87
EUR/USD: climbing bullishly
Eurodollar has broken above the 1.2385 highs and will probably now run all the way up to the 1.2440 level, although there may be a short pull-back to the support line at 1.2380 first. It is possible that there is an inverted H&S forming on the 4-hr chart with a neckline at 1.2440. A breach of this could see a move up to 1.2505. As long as the trend-line at 1.2315 holds the outlook remains bullish.

Forex4you trading signals and analysis
joaquinmonfort - 21/08/2012 09:36 PM
#88
GBP/USD: triangle concluding
The GBP/USD is challenging the upper boundary of the triangle in which it has been consolidating since June. It has poked above the boundary line but not definitively broken out. A move above the monthly pivot at 1.5830 would give better confirmation of a breakout and target 1.6150. Alternatively this may be a case of the final wave of a triangle over-shooting before a downside break, although a move below the 1.5673 trend-line would give much needed confirmation of such a reversal.

Forex4you trading signals and analysis
joaquinmonfort - 22/08/2012 05:23 PM
#89
EUR/USD: bullish continuation
The EUR/USD pair has pulled back and re-tested the neckline of the inverted H&S at 1.2440 and it will probably continue its rally from here, targeting 1.2550 first, which is the top of the channel, and then possibly 1.2640 at the point where it would meet a down-sloping trend-line. A decisive break back below 1.2440 would be a bearish sign and open the way to support at 1.2315.


Forex4you trading signals and analysis
joaquinmonfort - 22/08/2012 06:41 PM
#90
AUD/USD: technical analysis
The aussie has broken down through a major trend-line and then recovered. There is a strong possibility the up-trend will resume and return to the 1.0610 highs as the final fifth wave higher unfolds - a move above the 1.0520 highs giving added confirmation. A break below the monthly pivot at 1.0376 might anticipate a move lower, with 1.0150 targeted eventually.


Forex4you trading signals and analysis
joaquinmonfort - 22/08/2012 08:42 PM
#91
USD/JPY: technical analysis
USD/JPY is correcting back but will probably resume rallying again soon. It may come back a little further, first, however, perhaps to the cluster of support located at 78.98, including the 50-day MA and the 38.2% Fibonacci line. The line of resistance at 80.00 could provide the next target higher. A decisive move above 79.58 would add bullish confirmation.

Forex4you trading signals and analysis
joaquinmonfort - 23/08/2012 05:35 PM
#92
EUR/USD: hitting resistance
The exchange rate has reached the top of the channel line at 1.2550 where it has stalled although there are still no signs of reversal. Bears won't join the party until price dips below 1.2500 with a move down to the trend-line at 1.2400 a possibility. Further upside looks severely limited by the 100-day MA and the monthly pivot clustered at around 1.2630 – a break above which would be required for stronger bullish confirmation. If we really have an inverted H&S at the lows then it yields an upside target of 1.2835.


Forex4you trading signals and analysis
joaquinmonfort - 24/08/2012 03:43 PM
#93
EUR/USD: reversal possible
The eurodollar pair has touched the top of its channel and pulled-back. It has formed an H&S reversal pattern at the highs on the 1-hour chart and it is in the process of breaking down through the neckline at 1.2528 and beginning a stronger impulse lower to perhaps 1.2470. The bearish interpretation is only negated by a break above the 1.2560 which would be expected to lead to a move up to 1.2600 and a re-touch of the top of the channel again.

Forex4you trading signals and analysis
joaquinmonfort - 24/08/2012 04:49 PM
#94
GBP/USD: technical analysis
GBP/USD has begun pulling back from its breakout highs. A move back above the highs at 1.5920 would would be a strong continuation signal and target 1.5985 and then 1.6150 ( the target for the triangle breakout). The monthly pivot sits just below the current trading level at 1.5930 and would be expected to offer major support. Even a decisive break beneath it would then run into more support at the 1.5766 level which is the top of the triangle, and I can't see bears really jumping until that level is breached and we move back into the pattern.


Forex4you trading signals and analysis
joaquinmonfort - 27/08/2012 06:23 PM
#95
EUR/USD: downside perspective
Eurodollar has reached the top of its channel, put in a bearish engulfing and I think it will probably move lower. A break below 1.2480 would confirm a new wave down, targeting first the 50% Fibonacci line at 1.2420 and then probably more substantial support at 1.2380. A break above the 1.2561 spike high, however, would negate the bearish interpretation and see prices re-test the channel highs.

Forex4you trading signals and analysis
joaquinmonfort - 27/08/2012 08:05 PM
#96
Gold: meeting major resistance
Gold has reached a critical resistance level where it has met the major down-sloping boundary line of a multi-month triangle, and from here it is quite possible we will see a reversal take shape and the start of a move lower. For confirmation of such a breakdown we might look for a move below the 1663 swing low, then targeting 1650 afterwards. Longer-term the right-angled triangle forming since 2008 also has bearish overtones, however, a decisive breakout – perhaps above 1685 could upset any downside predictions and lead to further gains.

Forex4you trading signals and analysis
joaquinmonfort - 28/08/2012 05:06 PM
#97
GBP/USD: important support reached
Cable has reached a critical support level. It has fallen back down to the upper boundary of the triangle out of which it broke several days ago. The 100-day MA is at the same level also offering support. There is strong chance it could bounce and a break above 1.5828 could rally higher to the monthly pivot at 1.5985. On the other hand a decisive break below 1.5740, perhaps, could give bears heart and see the pair fall back into the triangle to 1.5650 in time.


Forex4you trading signals and analysis
joaquinmonfort - 28/08/2012 06:33 PM
#98
EUR/USD: technical analysis
The sudden spike up today has undone predictions of further downside. If it pierces above the 1.2561 highs then it will probably extend up to the 100-day MA at 1.2604. Another alternative is some range-bound activity, and the current rally petering out before falling back down to the lows clustered at around 1.2460.


Forex4you trading signals and analysis
joaquinmonfort - 28/08/2012 07:44 PM
#99
AUD/USD: technical analysis
The bullish trend from June will probably resume but there are no reversal signs yet. We are still in Elliot 4th wave with wave 5 expected to return to the 1.0600 highs. The monthly pivot is resisting and a break above 1.0390 would be a bullish sign and open the way to 1.0420. It is also possible the aussie could slip lower and 4th wave extend; a break below the 50-day MA located at 1.0340, could open the way to as low as 1.0200 which is the target for the breakout.


Forex4you trading signals and analysis
joaquinmonfort - 29/08/2012 05:54 PM
#100
EUR/USD: technical analysis
Eurodollar has pulled back after a sharp rally. It will probably resume its move higher and re-test the upper channel line at 1.2615. The bigger picture, however, indicates the formation of what is probably a fulcrum pattern on the 4-hour chart and this is a bearish reversal sign. A break below the bottom of the pattern at 1.2465 would be strong confirmation of more downside with the lower channel line at 1.2400 providing an initial target.


Forex4you trading signals and analysis
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