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joaquinmonfort - 20/09/2012 07:42 PM
#141
EUR/GBP: finding strong support
The EUR/GBP pair has fallen sharply to an important support level at the upper line of a long-term bearish channel which started in July 2011. It has also found support on the hourly chart from the lower line of the channel there, where it has formed a 2-bar reversal pattern. It will probably rise towards the highs at 0.8030. Alternatively, in the unlikely even of a break lower it could find support from the 100-day MA at 0.7967.


Forex4you trading signals and analysis
Zaretha - 21/09/2012 01:04 AM
#142

Forex4you trading signals and analysis
joaquinmonfort - 21/09/2012 05:53 PM
#143
EUR/USD: bullish breakout
Eurodollar has bounced from the support levels it reached yesterday and has broken out of the down-sloping channel it established on the hourly chart since falling from Tuesday's highs. The eventual target for the breakout lies at 1.3075. This could be the final 5th wave higher of the move which started at the beginning of September, with the 3rd wave peaking on Tuesday, and it could go higher and re-touch the 1.3170 level.


Forex4you trading signals and analysis
joaquinmonfort - 21/09/2012 08:08 PM
#144
AUD/USD: 5th wave
The aussie has risen up to the 1.0500 level in what is probably a wave 5 of the move up from the start of September – itself part of a larger 5th wave. There is a chance the pair will rise even further and reach the monthly pivot at 1.0535 and then probably the trend-line at 1.0550 – at least on an intraday basis. Given this is probably a 5th of a 5th it could be shorter or longer than usual and may be followed by an unusually steep decline.


Forex4you trading signals and analysis
joaquinmonfort - 21/09/2012 09:30 PM
#145
EUR/JPY: technical analysis
The pair may be starting a wave 5 of the move since July, which could rally higher and re-touch the 103.90 highs, although there is also initial resistance at 102.40. A break below the 100.90 lows would, however, alter the outlook and make it more bearish, and introduce the possibility of a move down to trend-line support at 100.35.

Forex4you trading signals and analysis
joaquinmonfort - 24/09/2012 05:42 PM
#146
EUR/USD: technical analysis
The EUR/USD has broken back into the rising channel showing considerable weakness today. It is likely to fall further now, targeting support at 1.2840. There is also a chance of a bounce given the move from the highs of the 17th may be completing its 5th wave. A break back above the hourly shooting star at 1.2972 could confirm a rebound and target 1.3045. However ultimately I see the bear correction resume afterwards and reach 1.2775, where the monthly pivot, trend-line and 38.2% fib combine to offer support.


Forex4you trading signals and analysis
joaquinmonfort - 24/09/2012 07:00 PM
#147
USD/CHF: probable bullish reversal
This pair could be undergoing a potential bullish reversal. A strong close today, above 0.9356, that is, would give a continuation signal higher, with a very high probability the pair will move up to around 0.9430 and a strong probability of a move even higher to around 0.9480. A failure to close above 0.9356, however, would negate the bullish outlook.


Forex4you trading signals and analysis
joaquinmonfort - 25/09/2012 05:15 PM
#148
EUR/USD: technical analysis
The exchange rate has stalled after breaking back into its channel. Wave 5 down is in the process of finishing. It is possible the correction has yet to play out, and it could bounce back up to 1.2950 again. After that there is likely to be more downside, however, with 1.2810 as the next target down followed by the bundle of pivots and the trend-line at 1.2775, which is the more significant downside target.


Forex4you trading signals and analysis
Zaretha - 26/09/2012 09:03 PM
#149

Forex4you trading signals and analysis
tr4ding.mib - 01/10/2012 04:46 AM
#150
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Zaretha - 01/10/2012 01:02 PM
#151

Quote:
Original Posted By tr4ding.mib
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joaquinmonfort - 01/10/2012 08:39 PM
#152
EUR/USD: possible reversal
Eurodollar is rebounding after finding support at the upper line of the wedge on the daily chart. It is possible that the preceding correction was an Elliot wave 4 and it may have finished and we could now be in a wave 5 higher. The rally will probably continue until it reaches resistance at 1.2950. If it is a wave 5 then it might even re-touch the 1.3170 highs eventually. Alternatively a break below 1.2780 would see a resumption of the bear trend, targeting support a


Forex4you trading signals and analysis
joaquinmonfort - 01/10/2012 08:41 PM
#153
GBP/USD: downside probable
The pound continues consolidating in a range and has fallen to the range lows and a long-term trend-line at 1.6145 where it is currently trading. A shooting star candlestick on the hourly chart forewarns of a probable sell-off down to 1.6095. Candlesticks on the daily chart are also bearish and a deeper break down to 1.6015 is also possible. A decisive move above 1.6165 could provide confirmation of the move higher, reaching back up to the top of the range at 1.6240, perhaps.


Forex4you trading signals and analysis
joaquinmonfort - 02/10/2012 05:32 PM
#154
EUR/USD: bounce possible
The EUR/USD recovered yesterday and is currently consolidating underneath a down-sloping trend-line which is capping further gains. It will probably eventually break through this trend-line and continue rising carrying on yesterday's spike-up. A move above the 1.2938 highs would give added confirmation and target 1.3050 initially, perhaps even the highs at 1.3170 in time, particularly if the move is a wave 5 as it looks. On the other hand, more downside would probably re-touch the 1.2800 support lows initially although the trend-line at that level would resist further penetration.


Forex4you trading signals and analysis
joaquinmonfort - 02/10/2012 07:11 PM
#155
GBP/USD: technical analysis
The GBP/USD has rebounded from the support lows at the bottom of the range and risen up to touch the upper line of a down-slopping channel where it will probably be resisted, at least temporarily. It could pull-back down to at least the 50% retracement at 1.6140 initially, with a break below 1.6128 then signalling a possible move down to perhaps the monthly pivot at 1.6095. Afterwards it might bounce and re-test the line, with a break higher targeting the 1.6280 range highs.


Forex4you trading signals and analysis
joaquinmonfort - 04/10/2012 06:07 PM
#156
EUR/USD: technical analysis
There is not much to add or change from yesterday's analysis because the pair has stayed range-bound mostly, no doubt because traders are waiting to see what happens at the ECB rate meeting later today. The upper line of the wedge pattern is still supporting the lows; it may rally higher to round-number resistance at 1.3000 and then perhaps the 1.3050 target. A decisive break above the 1.2967 high would provide strong bullish confirmation. Alternatively, a bear move below 1.2875 is also quite possible and would lead to a probable move down to the monthly pivot at 1.2840.


Forex4you trading signals and analysis
joaquinmonfort - 05/10/2012 05:54 PM
#157
EUR/USD: possible wave 5
Forex4you trading signals and analysis


Eurodollar rose strongly yesterday and broke above the 1.3000 round-number level. Currently it is pulling back but I think it will resume its rise higher given the strength of the move yesterday and also the wave count which indicates the current rally may be a 5th wave of the move from the July lows. A decisive break above 1.3050 would be strong confirmation. A target higher could be the old highs and the monthly pivot at 1.3175. The trend-line at 1.2970 would be expected to provide support to any down-move.
joaquinmonfort - 05/10/2012 08:27 PM
#158
GBP/USD: technical analysis
Forex4you trading signals and analysis

Cable is trading in a tight consolidation ahead of the release of Non-farm payrolls data. It rose strongly yesterday from support at the monthly pivot and it is possible it will continue higher. A move above 1.6210 might give strong confirmation of a rise higher, perhaps to the 1.6305 highs or the cluster of pivots above that at 1.6350. A break below 1.6150 alternatively might open the way to a possible move down to support at the 1.6095 lows.
joaquinmonfort - 08/10/2012 05:10 PM
#159
EUR/USD: breaking down
Forex4you trading signals and analysis

The EUR/USD pair has started to sell-off. It has just hit the 100-4hr MA but I expect it to resume the down-trend. A head & shoulders pattern at the highs has triggered with a down target of 1.2915, which is at the same level as the upper-line of the wedge pattern at 1.2920. It has provided support previously and would be expected to again. Thus I see a probable continuation down to 1.2920 initially, with perhaps a further move down to 1.2840 afterwards. A rebound higher, would be expected to find resistance at the neckline of the H&S at 1.2990.
joaquinmonfort - 08/10/2012 08:58 PM
#160
GBP/USD: channelling down
Forex4you trading signals and analysis

GBP/USD is channelling down. It has already fallen a lot and has reached a strong combination of support at 1.6045, from here it may bounce for a short time – to perhaps as high as resistance at 1.6095 – but the major trend-line has been breached so a continuation down to the next major support level at 1.5910 is highly probable.
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